How many games will UCLA win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for UCLA is 7.1 wins.

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Big Ten · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

UCLA Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is UCLA's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects UCLA to finish 7-5 in 2026, about 7.1 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects UCLA to finish 7-5 in 2026, with 7.1 expected wins. That’s up 1.7 wins from our preseason number.

1-0

record so far

7-5

projected record

7.1 ▲1.7 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects UCLA to finish 7-5 in 2026, with 7.1 expected wins. The model gives UCLA a 0% chance to win the Big Ten outright.

Model called 0 of 1 of UCLA’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	@ California	Won 45–24 ✗
Wk 2	vs San Diego State	67%
Wk 3	vs Purdue	88%
Wk 4	@ Maryland	42%
Wk 6	@ Oregon	5%
Wk 7	vs Wisconsin	98%
Wk 8	vs Michigan State	90%
Wk 9	vs Nevada	85%
Wk 10	@ Minnesota	28%
Wk 11	vs Illinois	60%
Wk 12	@ Michigan	21%
Wk 13	vs USC	31%

Win-total distribution

4 wins

5 wins

6 wins

21%

7 wins

30%

8 wins

24%

9 wins

11%

10 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. UCLA has a 0% shot at the Big Ten title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

UCLA’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Big Ten projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.