South Carolina Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects South Carolina to finish 7-5 in 2026, with 6.6 expected wins. South Carolina makes the 12-team Playoff in 1% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives South Carolina a 0% chance to win the SEC outright. The model has picked 3 of 6 South Carolina games correctly this season.
Get Backdoor Cover Projections every Wednesday
It’s one email every Wednesday, after the model runs. You can unsubscribe any time.
Path to the title
South Carolina earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for South Carolina. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5
vs Kent StateWon57-0 - Week 2Sat Sep 12
vs TowsonWon45-9 - Week 3Sat Sep 19Lost34-41
- Week 4Sat Sep 26
at AlabamaLost18-49 - Week 5Sat Oct 3
vs KentuckyLost34-35 - Week 6Sat Oct 10
at FloridaWon38-19 - Week 8Sat Oct 24
vs TennesseeWon27-24 - Week 9Sat Oct 31
at Oklahoma41% chance South Carolina wins - Week 10Sat Nov 7
vs Texas A&M57% chance South Carolina wins - Week 11Sat Nov 14
at Arkansas68% chance South Carolina wins - Week 12Sat Nov 21
vs Georgia36% chance South Carolina wins - Week 13Sat Nov 28
at Clemson62% chance South Carolina wins
How many games South Carolina wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 7-5 (34% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 6.6 in the preseason to 6.6 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.