Eastern Michigan Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Eastern Michigan to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.2 expected wins. Down 1.2 wins from the preseason projection. Eastern Michigan makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Eastern Michigan a 0% chance to win the Mid-American outright. The model has picked 5 of 8 Eastern Michigan games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Eastern Michigan earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Eastern Michigan. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Won21-27
- Week 1Fri Sep 4Lost21-27
- Week 2Sat Sep 12Lost7-35
- Week 3Sat Sep 19
at WisconsinLost10-54 - Week 4Sat Sep 26
vs LindenwoodWon29-3 - Week 5Sat Oct 3Won38-14
- Week 6Sat Oct 10
at AkronWon25-23 - Week 7Sat Oct 17
vs ToledoLost14-34 - Week 8Sat Oct 24
at OhioLost20-24 - Week 10Wed Nov 4
46% chance Eastern Michigan wins - Week 12Tue Nov 177% chance Eastern Michigan wins
- Week 13Tue Nov 24
vs Kent State66% chance Eastern Michigan wins
How many games Eastern Michigan wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 5-7 (49% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 6.4 in the preseason to 5.2 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.