How many games will Missouri win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Missouri is 5.7 wins.

Season Predictions College Football Playoff Bracket Game Predictions Track record Pricing Follow on X

SEC · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Missouri Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Missouri's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Missouri to finish 6-6 in 2026, about 5.7 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Missouri to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 5.7 expected wins. That’s down 2.0 wins from our preseason number.

6-6

projected record

5.7 ▼2.0 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Missouri to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 5.7 expected wins. The model gives Missouri a 0% chance to win the SEC outright.

Get a free pick every week

Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	93%
Wk 2	@ Kansas	76%
Wk 3	vs Troy	98%
Wk 4	@ Mississippi State	52%
Wk 5	vs Florida	28%
Wk 6	vs Texas A&M	2%
Wk 7	@ Ole Miss	34%
Wk 9	@ Arkansas	76%
Wk 10	vs Texas	9%
Wk 11	@ Georgia	9%
Wk 12	vs Kentucky	78%
Wk 13	vs Oklahoma	13%

Win-total distribution

3 wins

4 wins

13%

5 wins

28%

6 wins

30%

7 wins

18%

8 wins

9 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Missouri has a 0% shot at the SEC title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Missouri’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

Your first week guaranteed

If your first paid week loses, the next one is on us.

Get weekly picks $9.99 per week, or $99 for the season

New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.

The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

See every graded pick

More: SEC projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.