Week 2 College Football Predictions

All 49 games, in kickoff order. A Model Pick is the side the model lands on against the line and total. Green won, red lost. Model Picks aren’t bets. The games I bet are Backdoor Cover Picks. Every result is graded at DraftKings’ closing line, not the line when the pick went up.

Final	Matchup	Proj Line	Closing Line	Proj Total	Closing Total	Model Picks
Friday, Sep 11
21–28Final	Rutgers Boston College 7:30 PM ESPN2	Rutgers −5.8	Boston College −3	—	—	Rutgers +3.0
38–21Final	Missouri Kansas 8:00 PM FOXRead the breakdown	Missouri −9.4	Missouri −4	—	—	Missouri −4.0
Saturday, Sep 12
27–24Final	App State East Carolina 12:00 PM ESPNU	East Carolina −3.7	East Carolina −6.5	—	—	App State +6.5
20–48Final	Arizona State Texas A&M 12:00 PM ABCRead the breakdown	Texas A&M −15.2	Texas A&M −15.5	—	—	Texas A&M −15.5
10–17Final	Oklahoma Michigan 12:00 PM FOXRead the breakdown	Oklahoma −16.0	Oklahoma −5.5	—	—	Oklahoma −5.5
21–44Final	Old Dominion Virginia Tech 12:00 PM CW	Virginia Tech −20.0	Virginia Tech −17.5	—	—	Virginia Tech −17.5
31–39Final	Oregon Oklahoma State 12:00 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	Oregon −13.3	Oregon −24.5	—	—	Oklahoma State +24.5
27–9Final	Penn State Temple 12:00 PM ESPN2Read the breakdown	Penn State −30.8	Penn State −24.5	—	—	Penn State −24.5
28–24Final	South Florida Army 12:00 PM CBSSN	Army −8.1	Army −3	—	—	Army −3.0
38–36Final	Wake Forest Purdue 12:00 PM FS1	Purdue −11.9	Wake Forest −2.5	—	—	Purdue +2.5
7–34Final	Washington State Kansas State 12:00 PM TNT	Kansas State −22.2	Kansas State −17.5	—	—	Kansas State −17.5
20–70Final	Western Kentucky Georgia 12:45 PM SEC NetworkRead the breakdown	Georgia −34.6	Georgia −40.5	—	—	Western Kentucky +40.5
45–17Final	Alabama Kentucky 3:30 PM ABCRead the breakdown	Alabama −12.0	Alabama −9.5	—	—	Alabama −9.5
17–28Final	Arizona BYU 3:30 PM FOXRead the breakdown	BYU −10.4	BYU −6.5	—	—	BYU −6.5
21–18Final	California Syracuse 3:30 PM ACC Network	Syracuse −12.0	Syracuse −4	—	—	Syracuse −4.0
31–27Final	Duke Illinois 3:30 PM FS1Read the breakdown	Illinois −7.0	Illinois −6	—	—	Illinois −6.0
7–35Final	Eastern Michigan Michigan State 3:30 PM BTN	Michigan State −16.2	Michigan State −17.5	—	—	Eastern Michigan +17.5
38–14Final	Maryland UConn 3:30 PM CBSSN	Maryland −21.9	Maryland −11.5	—	—	Maryland −11.5
38–13Final	Mississippi State Minnesota 3:30 PM CBS	Minnesota −10.2	Mississippi State −1.5	—	—	Minnesota +1.5
0–52Final	Rice Notre Dame 3:30 PM NBCRead the breakdown	Notre Dame −21.6	Notre Dame −44.5	—	—	Rice +44.5
7–12Final	UCF Pittsburgh 3:30 PM ESPN2Read the breakdown	Pittsburgh −0.9	Pittsburgh −7.5	—	—	UCF +7.5
20–26Final	UL Monroe UAB 3:30 PM ESPN+	UAB −26.9	UAB −9.5	—	—	UAB −9.5
31–26Final	UTSA Texas State 3:30 PM CW	UTSA −16.2	Texas State −1.5	—	—	UTSA +1.5
14–16Final	Utah State Washington 3:30 PM BTN	Washington −23.5	Washington −28.5	—	—	Utah State +28.5
6–44Final	UNLV North Texas 3:45 PM ESPNU	UNLV −20.5	UNLV −3	—	—	UNLV −3.0
26–35Final	Delaware Vanderbilt 4:15 PM SEC Network	Vanderbilt −12.4	Vanderbilt −20.5	—	—	Delaware +20.5
20–33Final	Buffalo Florida International 6:00 PM ESPN+	Florida International −22.3	Florida International −8.5	—	—	Florida International −8.5
27–29Final	Jacksonville State Ohio 6:00 PM ESPN+	Jacksonville State −17.9	Ohio −1.5	—	—	Jacksonville State +1.5
20–38Final	Memphis Boise State 6:00 PM USA NetRead the breakdown	Boise State −7.9	Boise State −9.5	—	—	Memphis +9.5
7–56Final	Bowling Green Nebraska 7:00 PM FS1	Nebraska −22.3	Nebraska −30.5	—	—	Bowling Green +30.5
31–17Final	Georgia State Kennesaw State 7:00 PM ESPN+	Kennesaw State −22.8	Kennesaw State −7.5	—	—	Kennesaw State −7.5
26–28Final	Middle Tennessee Marshall 7:00 PM ESPN+	Marshall −11.1	Marshall −11.5	—	—	Middle Tennessee +11.5
24–28Final	South Alabama Tulane 7:00 PM ESPN+	Tulane −18.0	Tulane −9.5	—	—	Tulane −9.5
45–24Final	Tennessee Georgia Tech 7:00 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	Tennessee −17.7	Tennessee −12.5	—	—	Tennessee −12.5
23–17Final	Tulsa Sam Houston 7:00 PM ESPN+	Tulsa −10.1	Tulsa −12.5	—	—	Sam Houston +12.5
10–28Final	San Diego State UCLA 7:15 PM BTN	UCLA −5.9	UCLA −13.5	—	—	San Diego State +13.5
7–22Final	Georgia Southern Clemson 7:30 PM ACC NetworkRead the breakdown	Clemson −11.9	Clemson −20.5	—	—	Georgia Southern +20.5
13–16Final	Iowa State Iowa 7:30 PM NBCRead the breakdown	Iowa −17.5	Iowa −14	—	—	Iowa −14.0
14–45Final	Louisiana Tech LSU 7:30 PM SECN+Read the breakdown	LSU −20.5	LSU −34.5	—	—	Louisiana Tech +34.5
30–38Final	Navy Florida Atlantic 7:30 PM ESPNU	Navy −19.6	Navy −4.5	—	—	Navy −4.5
23–24Final	Ohio State Texas 7:30 PM ABCRead the breakdown	Ohio State −2.9	Texas −2.5	—	—	Ohio State +2.5
35–24Final	Texas Tech Oregon State 7:30 PM CBSRead the breakdown	Texas Tech −26.7	Texas Tech −25.5	—	—	Texas Tech −25.5
9–41Final	Charlotte Ole Miss 7:45 PM ESPN2	Ole Miss −35.5	Ole Miss −44.5	—	—	Charlotte +44.5
8–43Final	Southern Miss Auburn 7:45 PM SEC NetworkRead the breakdown	Auburn −20.9	Auburn −32.5	—	—	Southern Miss +32.5
38–32Final	North Dakota State Air Force 10:00 PM FS1	Air Force −11.1	North Dakota State −1.5	—	—	Air Force +1.5
10–43Final	Arkansas Utah 10:15 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	Utah −12.7	Utah −13.5	—	—	Utah −13.5
3–49Final	Sacramento State Fresno State 10:30 PM CBSSN	Fresno State −14.6	Fresno State −17.5	—	—	Sacramento State +17.5
30–49Final	Louisiana USC 11:00 PM BTNRead the breakdown	USC −17.0	USC −30.5	—	—	Louisiana +30.5
19–29Final	New Mexico State Hawai'i 11:59 PM MW+	Hawai'i −11.2	Hawai'i −7.5	—	—	Hawai'i −7.5

Game	Proj spread	Proj total	Model picksat final line
Friday, Sep 11
RUTGBC Final 21–28	RUTG −5.8	—	RUTG +3.0
MIZKU Final 38–21 Breakdown	MIZ −9.4	—	MIZ −4.0
Saturday, Sep 12
APPECU Final 27–24	ECU −3.7	—	APP +6.5
ASUTA&M Final 20–48 Breakdown	TA&M −15.2	—	TA&M −15.5
OUMICH Final 10–17 Breakdown	OU −16.0	—	OU −5.5
ODUVT Final 21–44	VT −20.0	—	VT −17.5
OREOKST Final 31–39 Breakdown	ORE −13.3	—	OKST +24.5
PSUTEM Final 27–9 Breakdown	PSU −30.8	—	PSU −24.5
USFARMY Final 28–24	ARMY −8.1	—	ARMY −3.0
WAKEPUR Final 38–36	PUR −11.9	—	PUR +2.5
WSUKSU Final 7–34	KSU −22.2	—	KSU −17.5
WKUUGA Final 20–70 Breakdown	UGA −34.6	—	WKU +40.5
ALAUK Final 45–17 Breakdown	ALA −12.0	—	ALA −9.5
ARIZBYU Final 17–28 Breakdown	BYU −10.4	—	BYU −6.5
CALSYR Final 21–18	SYR −12.0	—	SYR −4.0
DUKEILL Final 31–27 Breakdown	ILL −7.0	—	ILL −6.0
EMUMSU Final 7–35	MSU −16.2	—	EMU +17.5
MDCONN Final 38–14	MD −21.9	—	MD −11.5
MSSTMINN Final 38–13	MINN −10.2	—	MINN +1.5
RICEND Final 0–52 Breakdown	ND −21.6	—	RICE +44.5
UCFPITT Final 7–12 Breakdown	PITT −0.9	—	UCF +7.5
ULMUAB Final 20–26	UAB −26.9	—	UAB −9.5
UTSATXST Final 31–26	UTSA −16.2	—	UTSA +1.5
USUWASH Final 14–16	WASH −23.5	—	USU +28.5
UNLVUNT Final 6–44	UNLV −20.5	—	UNLV −3.0
DELVAN Final 26–35	VAN −12.4	—	DEL +20.5
BUFFIU Final 20–33	FIU −22.3	—	FIU −8.5
JXSTOHIO Final 27–29	JXST −17.9	—	JXST +1.5
MEMBOIS Final 20–38 Breakdown	BOIS −7.9	—	MEM +9.5
BGSUNEB Final 7–56	NEB −22.3	—	BGSU +30.5
GASTKENN Final 31–17	KENN −22.8	—	KENN −7.5
MTSUMRSH Final 26–28	MRSH −11.1	—	MTSU +11.5
USATULN Final 24–28	TULN −18.0	—	TULN −9.5
TENNGT Final 45–24 Breakdown	TENN −17.7	—	TENN −12.5
TLSASHSU Final 23–17	TLSA −10.1	—	SHSU +12.5
SDSUUCLA Final 10–28	UCLA −5.9	—	SDSU +13.5
GASOCLEM Final 7–22 Breakdown	CLEM −11.9	—	GASO +20.5
ISUIOWA Final 13–16 Breakdown	IOWA −17.5	—	IOWA −14.0
LTLSU Final 14–45 Breakdown	LSU −20.5	—	LT +34.5
NAVYFAU Final 30–38	NAVY −19.6	—	NAVY −4.5
OSUTEX Final 23–24 Breakdown	OSU −2.9	—	OSU +2.5
TTUORST Final 35–24 Breakdown	TTU −26.7	—	TTU −25.5
CLTMISS Final 9–41	MISS −35.5	—	CLT +44.5
USMAUB Final 8–43 Breakdown	AUB −20.9	—	USM +32.5
NDSUAF Final 38–32	AF −11.1	—	AF +1.5
ARKUTAH Final 10–43 Breakdown	UTAH −12.7	—	UTAH −13.5
SACFRES Final 3–49	FRES −14.6	—	SAC +17.5
ULUSC Final 30–49 Breakdown	USC −17.0	—	UL +30.5
NMSUHAW Final 19–29	HAW −11.2	—	HAW −7.5

How the model is doing. 203–178–7 against the spread (53.3%), 130–101 on totals (56.3%) and 285–103 straight up (73.5%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.