Week 7 College Football Predictions

All 59 games, in kickoff order. A Model Pick is the side the model lands on against the line and total. Model Picks aren’t bets. The games I bet are Backdoor Cover Picks.

Kickoff ET	Matchup	Proj Line	Current Line	Proj Total	Current Total	Model Picks
Tuesday, Oct 13
7:00 PMCBSSN	Delaware Middle Tennessee 7:00 PM CBSSN	Middle Tennessee −1.9	Delaware −1.5	56.1	47.5	Middle Tennessee +1.5Over 47.5
8:00 PMESPNU	Florida International Jacksonville State 8:00 PM ESPNU	Jacksonville State −11.3	Jacksonville State −3.0	48.6	43.5	Jacksonville State −3.0Over 43.5
Wednesday, Oct 14
7:30 PMCBSSN	Kennesaw State Missouri State 7:30 PM CBSSN	Kennesaw State −9.9	Kennesaw State −3.5	51.5	52.5	Kennesaw State −3.5Under 52.5
8:00 PMESPN2	Western Kentucky Sam Houston 8:00 PM ESPN2	Western Kentucky −0.3	Western Kentucky −1.5	57.9	53.5	Sam Houston +1.5Over 53.5
Thursday, Oct 15
7:30 PMESPN	East Carolina UAB 7:30 PM ESPN	East Carolina −5.5	East Carolina −4.5	46.3	47.5	East Carolina −4.5Under 47.5
7:30 PMESPN2	Georgia Southern Old Dominion 7:30 PM ESPN2	Georgia Southern −10.0	Georgia Southern −3.5	50.8	47.5	Georgia Southern −3.5Over 47.5
8:00 PMCBSSN	Colorado State Texas State 8:00 PM CBSSN	Texas State −16.4	Texas State −14.5	73.2	70.5	Texas State −14.5Over 70.5
Friday, Oct 16
7:30 PMESPN	Memphis Tulane 7:30 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	Tulane −4.3	Memphis −7.0	57.7	55.5	Tulane +7.0Over 55.5
8:00 PMESPN2	App State Coastal Carolina 8:00 PM ESPN2	App State −4.2	App State −1.5	54.2	49.5	App State −1.5Over 49.5
8:00 PMFOX	Washington Purdue 8:00 PM FOX	Purdue −1.8	Purdue −3.5	56.5	52.5	Washington +3.5Over 52.5
Saturday, Oct 17
12:00 PMESPN+	Ball State Bowling Green 12:00 PM ESPN+	Bowling Green −1.8	Bowling Green −6.5	51.2	47.5	Ball State +6.5Over 47.5
12:00 PMTNT	Cincinnati West Virginia 12:00 PM TNT	Cincinnati −3.6	West Virginia −1.5	62.4	63.5	Cincinnati +1.5Under 63.5
12:00 PMABC	Florida Texas 12:00 PM ABCRead the breakdown	Texas −6.8	Texas −11.5	50.6	52.5	Florida +11.5Under 52.5
12:00 PMCBSSN	Florida Atlantic Army 12:00 PM CBSSN	Army −5.6	Army −2.5	61.3	55.5	Army −2.5Over 55.5
12:00 PMESPNU	Georgia State James Madison 12:00 PM ESPNU	James Madison −9.3	James Madison −12.5	59.4	58.5	Georgia State +12.5Over 58.5
12:00 PMFS1	Kansas Kansas State 12:00 PM FS1Read the breakdown	Kansas −7.9	Kansas State −4.5	53.7	55.5	Kansas +4.5Under 55.5
12:00 PMESPN	Mississippi State LSU 12:00 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	LSU −10.0	LSU −13.5	54.1	58.5	Mississippi State +13.5Under 58.5
12:00 PMPeacock	Northwestern Michigan State 12:00 PM Peacock	Michigan State −3.2	Northwestern −7.5	49.3	48.5	Michigan State +7.5Over 48.5
12:00 PMFox	Ohio State Indiana 12:00 PM FoxRead the breakdown	Indiana −2.6	Ohio State −3.5	55.0	50.5	Indiana +3.5Over 50.5
12:00 PMESPN2	Pittsburgh Boston College 12:00 PM ESPN2	Pittsburgh −23.4	Pittsburgh −6.5	49.4	42.5	Pittsburgh −6.5Over 42.5
12:00 PMCW	Virginia SMU 12:00 PM CW	SMU −7.0	SMU −9.5	53.2	52.5	Virginia +9.5Over 52.5
12:30 PMBTN	Rutgers Maryland 12:30 PM BTN	Maryland −3.7	Maryland −6.5	61.9	56.5	Rutgers +6.5Over 56.5
1:00 PMESPN+	Charlotte Temple 1:00 PM ESPN+	Temple −14.2	Temple −21.5	50.1	47.5	Charlotte +21.5Over 47.5
1:00 PMESPN+	Massachusetts Buffalo 1:00 PM ESPN+	Massachusetts −0.2	Buffalo −6.5	50.0	41.5	Massachusetts +6.5Over 41.5
1:30 PMESPN+	Western Michigan Central Michigan 1:30 PM ESPN+	Western Michigan −14.5	Western Michigan −6.5	46.8	43.5	Western Michigan −6.5Over 43.5
3:30 PMESPN+	Akron Miami (OH) 3:30 PM ESPN+	Miami (OH) −11.8	Miami (OH) −9.5	57.0	45.5	Miami (OH) −9.5Over 45.5
3:30 PMABC	Alabama Tennessee 3:30 PM ABCRead the breakdown	Alabama −20.3	Alabama −9.5	52.6	51.5	Alabama −9.5Over 51.5
3:30 PMFox	Arizona State Texas Tech 3:30 PM Fox	Texas Tech −20.7	Texas Tech −14.5	51.5	48.5	Texas Tech −14.5Over 48.5
3:30 PMESPN	Auburn Georgia 3:30 PM ESPN	Georgia −18.2	Georgia −20.5	47.4	49.5	Auburn +20.5Under 49.5
3:30 PMACC Network	Georgia Tech Virginia Tech 3:30 PM ACC Network	Virginia Tech −8.0	Virginia Tech −9.5	55.5	56.5	Georgia Tech +9.5Under 56.5
3:30 PMSEC Network	Missouri Ole Miss 3:30 PM SEC NetworkRead the breakdown	Missouri −1.2	Ole Miss −6.5	59.7	59.5	Missouri +6.5Over 59.5
3:30 PMESPN2	North Carolina Duke 3:30 PM ESPN2Read the breakdown	Duke −2.3	Duke −3.0	50.7	47.5	North Carolina +3.0Over 47.5
3:30 PMCW	Northern Illinois Wyoming 3:30 PM CW	Wyoming −6.8	Wyoming −8.5	47.1	40.5	Northern Illinois +8.5Over 40.5
3:30 PMCBS	Penn State Michigan 3:30 PM CBSRead the breakdown	Michigan −6.2	Michigan −6.5	44.2	42.5	Penn State +6.5Over 42.5
3:30 PMESPN+	Toledo Eastern Michigan 3:30 PM ESPN+	Toledo −19.4	Toledo −6.5	56.6	53.5	Toledo −6.5Over 53.5
3:30 PMCBSSN	UNLV Air Force 3:30 PM CBSSN	Air Force −12.0	UNLV −1.5	51.3	48.5	Air Force +1.5Over 48.5
4:30 PMESPN+	Tulsa Rice 4:30 PM ESPN+	Tulsa −5.4	Tulsa −3.5	46.6	46.5	Tulsa −3.5Over 46.5
5:00 PMESPN+	Troy Louisiana 5:00 PM ESPN+	Louisiana −7.0	Louisiana −3.5	52.5	49.5	Louisiana −3.5Over 49.5
6:00 PMUSA Net	Washington State Oregon State 6:00 PM USA Net	Oregon State −19.4	Oregon State −17.5	53.4	52.5	Oregon State −17.5Over 52.5
7:00 PMESPN2	Arkansas Vanderbilt 7:00 PM ESPN2	Vanderbilt −5.8	Vanderbilt −6.5	55.4	50.5	Arkansas +6.5Over 50.5
7:00 PMESPN+	Arkansas State Southern Miss 7:00 PM ESPN+	Arkansas State −3.1	Arkansas State −6.5	58.8	62.5	Southern Miss +6.5Under 62.5
7:00 PMESPN	Florida State Miami 7:00 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	Miami −33.5	Miami −21.5	59.1	55.5	Miami −21.5Over 55.5
7:00 PMESPN+	Kent State South Florida 7:00 PM ESPN+	South Florida −28.4	South Florida −21.5	51.4	45.5	South Florida −21.5Over 45.5
7:00 PMCBSSN	Nevada North Dakota State 7:00 PM CBSSN	North Dakota State −5.8	North Dakota State −14.5	50.6	42.5	Nevada +14.5Over 42.5
7:00 PMFS1	TCU Baylor 7:00 PM FS1	Baylor −0.3	Baylor −6.5	49.6	48.5	TCU +6.5Over 48.5
7:30 PMSEC Network	Kentucky Oklahoma 7:30 PM SEC NetworkRead the breakdown	Kentucky −0.9	Oklahoma −6.5	46.4	43.5	Kentucky +6.5Over 43.5
7:30 PMACC Network	Louisville Syracuse 7:30 PM ACC Network	Louisville −10.4	Louisville −14.5	55.5	56.5	Syracuse +14.5Under 56.5
7:30 PMABC	Notre Dame BYU 7:30 PM ABCRead the breakdown	Notre Dame −8.2	Notre Dame −10.5	48.9	46.5	BYU +10.5Over 46.5
7:30 PMFox	Oklahoma State Houston 7:30 PM FoxRead the breakdown	Houston −13.3	Houston −4.5	53.9	61.5	Houston −4.5Under 61.5
7:30 PMNBC	Wisconsin UCLA 7:30 PM NBCRead the breakdown	UCLA −5.3	UCLA −2.5	48.1	44.5	UCLA −2.5Over 44.5
8:00 PMESPN+	Louisiana Tech UL Monroe 8:00 PM ESPN+	Louisiana Tech −12.0	Louisiana Tech −15.5	54.8	57.5	UL Monroe +15.5Under 57.5
8:00 PMESPNU	Navy UTSA 8:00 PM ESPNU	UTSA −5.5	UTSA −6.5	53.1	56.5	Navy +6.5Under 56.5
9:00 PMMW+	San José State UTEP 9:00 PM MW+	San José State −3.8	San José State −7.5	48.4	46.5	UTEP +7.5Over 46.5
10:00 PMESPN+	Ohio Sacramento State 10:00 PM ESPN+	Ohio −5.9	Ohio −16.5	51.0	48.5	Sacramento State +16.5Over 48.5
10:15 PMESPN	Utah Colorado 10:15 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	Utah −23.0	Utah −15.5	52.1	49.5	Utah −15.5Over 49.5
10:30 PMCBSSN	Fresno State San Diego State 10:30 PM CBSSN	Fresno State −5.9	Fresno State −7.5	41.6	46.5	San Diego State +7.5Under 46.5
10:30 PMFS1	New Mexico Hawai'i 10:30 PM FS1	New Mexico −19.0	New Mexico −14.5	51.2	45.5	New Mexico −14.5Over 45.5
10:30 PMESPN2	Wake Forest California 10:30 PM ESPN2	Wake Forest −18.0	Wake Forest −9.5	51.0	53.5	Wake Forest −9.5Under 53.5
11:00 PMFox	Nebraska Oregon 11:00 PM Fox	Oregon −7.8	Oregon −7.5	56.8	52.5	Oregon −7.5Over 52.5

Game	Proj spread	Proj total	Model picksat current line
Tuesday, Oct 13
DELMTSU 7:00 PM CBSSN	MTSU −1.9	56.1	MTSU +1.5Over 47.5
FIUJXST 8:00 PM ESPNU	JXST −11.3	48.6	JXST −3.0Over 43.5
Wednesday, Oct 14
KENNMOST 7:30 PM CBSSN	KENN −9.9	51.5	KENN −3.5Under 52.5
WKUSHSU 8:00 PM ESPN2	WKU −0.3	57.9	SHSU +1.5Over 53.5
Thursday, Oct 15
ECUUAB 7:30 PM ESPN	ECU −5.5	46.3	ECU −4.5Under 47.5
GASOODU 7:30 PM ESPN2	GASO −10.0	50.8	GASO −3.5Over 47.5
CSUTXST 8:00 PM CBSSN	TXST −16.4	73.2	TXST −14.5Over 70.5
Friday, Oct 16
MEMTULN 7:30 PM ESPN Breakdown	TULN −4.3	57.7	TULN +7.0Over 55.5
APPCCU 8:00 PM ESPN2	APP −4.2	54.2	APP −1.5Over 49.5
WASHPUR 8:00 PM FOX	PUR −1.8	56.5	WASH +3.5Over 52.5
Saturday, Oct 17
BALLBGSU 12:00 PM ESPN+	BGSU −1.8	51.2	BALL +6.5Over 47.5
CINWVU 12:00 PM TNT	CIN −3.6	62.4	CIN +1.5Under 63.5
FLATEX 12:00 PM ABC Breakdown	TEX −6.8	50.6	FLA +11.5Under 52.5
FAUARMY 12:00 PM CBSSN	ARMY −5.6	61.3	ARMY −2.5Over 55.5
GASTJMU 12:00 PM ESPNU	JMU −9.3	59.4	GAST +12.5Over 58.5
KUKSU 12:00 PM FS1 Breakdown	KU −7.9	53.7	KU +4.5Under 55.5
MSSTLSU 12:00 PM ESPN Breakdown	LSU −10.0	54.1	MSST +13.5Under 58.5
NUMSU 12:00 PM Peacock	MSU −3.2	49.3	MSU +7.5Over 48.5
OSUIU 12:00 PM Fox Breakdown	IU −2.6	55.0	IU +3.5Over 50.5
PITTBC 12:00 PM ESPN2	PITT −23.4	49.4	PITT −6.5Over 42.5
UVASMU 12:00 PM CW	SMU −7.0	53.2	UVA +9.5Over 52.5
RUTGMD 12:30 PM BTN	MD −3.7	61.9	RUTG +6.5Over 56.5
CLTTEM 1:00 PM ESPN+	TEM −14.2	50.1	CLT +21.5Over 47.5
MASSBUF 1:00 PM ESPN+	MASS −0.2	50.0	MASS +6.5Over 41.5
WMUCMU 1:30 PM ESPN+	WMU −14.5	46.8	WMU −6.5Over 43.5
AKRM-OH 3:30 PM ESPN+	M-OH −11.8	57.0	M-OH −9.5Over 45.5
ALATENN 3:30 PM ABC Breakdown	ALA −20.3	52.6	ALA −9.5Over 51.5
ASUTTU 3:30 PM Fox	TTU −20.7	51.5	TTU −14.5Over 48.5
AUBUGA 3:30 PM ESPN	UGA −18.2	47.4	AUB +20.5Under 49.5
GTVT 3:30 PM ACC Network	VT −8.0	55.5	GT +9.5Under 56.5
MIZMISS 3:30 PM SEC Network Breakdown	MIZ −1.2	59.7	MIZ +6.5Over 59.5
UNCDUKE 3:30 PM ESPN2 Breakdown	DUKE −2.3	50.7	UNC +3.0Over 47.5
NIUWYO 3:30 PM CW	WYO −6.8	47.1	NIU +8.5Over 40.5
PSUMICH 3:30 PM CBS Breakdown	MICH −6.2	44.2	PSU +6.5Over 42.5
TOLEMU 3:30 PM ESPN+	TOL −19.4	56.6	TOL −6.5Over 53.5
UNLVAF 3:30 PM CBSSN	AF −12.0	51.3	AF +1.5Over 48.5
TLSARICE 4:30 PM ESPN+	TLSA −5.4	46.6	TLSA −3.5Over 46.5
TROYUL 5:00 PM ESPN+	UL −7.0	52.5	UL −3.5Over 49.5
WSUORST 6:00 PM USA Net	ORST −19.4	53.4	ORST −17.5Over 52.5
ARKVAN 7:00 PM ESPN2	VAN −5.8	55.4	ARK +6.5Over 50.5
ARSTUSM 7:00 PM ESPN+	ARST −3.1	58.8	USM +6.5Under 62.5
FSUMIA 7:00 PM ESPN Breakdown	MIA −33.5	59.1	MIA −21.5Over 55.5
KENTUSF 7:00 PM ESPN+	USF −28.4	51.4	USF −21.5Over 45.5
NEVNDSU 7:00 PM CBSSN	NDSU −5.8	50.6	NEV +14.5Over 42.5
TCUBAY 7:00 PM FS1	BAY −0.3	49.6	TCU +6.5Over 48.5
UKOU 7:30 PM SEC Network Breakdown	UK −0.9	46.4	UK +6.5Over 43.5
LOUSYR 7:30 PM ACC Network	LOU −10.4	55.5	SYR +14.5Under 56.5
NDBYU 7:30 PM ABC Breakdown	ND −8.2	48.9	BYU +10.5Over 46.5
OKSTHOU 7:30 PM Fox Breakdown	HOU −13.3	53.9	HOU −4.5Under 61.5
WISUCLA 7:30 PM NBC Breakdown	UCLA −5.3	48.1	UCLA −2.5Over 44.5
LTULM 8:00 PM ESPN+	LT −12.0	54.8	ULM +15.5Under 57.5
NAVYUTSA 8:00 PM ESPNU	UTSA −5.5	53.1	NAVY +6.5Under 56.5
SJSUUTEP 9:00 PM MW+	SJSU −3.8	48.4	UTEP +7.5Over 46.5
OHIOSAC 10:00 PM ESPN+	OHIO −5.9	51.0	SAC +16.5Over 48.5
UTAHCOLO 10:15 PM ESPN Breakdown	UTAH −23.0	52.1	UTAH −15.5Over 49.5
FRESSDSU 10:30 PM CBSSN	FRES −5.9	41.6	SDSU +7.5Under 46.5
UNMHAW 10:30 PM FS1	UNM −19.0	51.2	UNM −14.5Over 45.5
WAKECAL 10:30 PM ESPN2	WAKE −18.0	51.0	WAKE −9.5Under 53.5
NEBORE 11:00 PM Fox	ORE −7.8	56.8	ORE −7.5Over 52.5

How the model is doing. 174–154–1 against the spread (53.0%), 97–75 on totals (56.4%) and 247–82 straight up (75.1%) on every game this season.