Week 10 College Football Predictions

All 62 games, in kickoff order. A Model Pick is the side the model lands on against the line and total. Green won, red lost. Model Picks aren’t bets. The games I bet are Backdoor Cover Picks. Every result is graded at DraftKings’ closing line, not the line when the pick went up.

Kickoff ET	Matchup	Proj Line	Current Line	Proj Total	Current Total	Model Picks
Tuesday, Nov 3
28–20Final	Ohio Akron 7:00 PM ESPN2	Ohio −17.9	Ohio −12.5Close	56.6	52.5Close	Ohio −12.5Over 52.5
34–31Final	Buffalo Miami (OH) 8:00 PM ESPN	Miami (OH) −13.6	Miami (OH) −6.5Close	53.3	45.5Close	Miami (OH) −6.5Over 45.5
Wednesday, Nov 4
7:00 PMESPNU	Ball State Massachusetts 7:00 PM ESPNU	Massachusetts −3.3	Massachusetts −3.0	50.0	49.0	Massachusetts −3.0Over 49.0
7:00 PMCBSSN	Toledo Sacramento State 7:00 PM CBSSN	Toledo −16.5	Toledo −25.5	55.1	52.5	Sacramento State +25.5Over 52.5
7:30 PMESPN2	Central Michigan Eastern Michigan 7:30 PM ESPN2	Eastern Michigan −2.1	Eastern Michigan −1.5	48.9	44.5	Eastern Michigan −1.5Over 44.5
Thursday, Nov 5
7:30 PMESPN	UTSA Florida Atlantic 7:30 PM ESPN	UTSA −3.4	UTSA −6.5	63.3	73.5	Florida Atlantic +6.5Under 73.5
8:00 PMESPN2	James Madison Southern Miss 8:00 PM ESPN2	James Madison −12.7	James Madison −14.5	57.8	57.5	Southern Miss +14.5Over 57.5
Friday, Nov 6
7:00 PMESPN	Virginia Tech SMU 7:00 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	SMU −9.6	SMU −5.5	56.2	56.5	SMU −5.5Under 56.5
7:30 PMESPN2	South Florida East Carolina 7:30 PM ESPN2	South Florida −2.1	East Carolina −2.5	49.7	39.5	South Florida +2.5Over 39.5
8:00 PMFOX	Nebraska Illinois 8:00 PM FOXRead the breakdown	Nebraska −8.7	Nebraska −4.5	59.6	50.5	Nebraska −4.5Over 50.5
9:00 PMCBSSN	New Mexico Nevada 9:00 PM CBSSN	New Mexico −11.1	New Mexico −9.5	45.1	37.0	New Mexico −9.5Over 37.0
10:15 PMESPN	TCU Arizona 10:15 PM ESPN	Arizona −5.6	Arizona −9.5	50.4	43.5	TCU +9.5Over 43.5
Saturday, Nov 7
12:00 PMABC	BYU Utah 12:00 PM ABCRead the breakdown	Utah −9.0	Utah −5.5	54.3	48.5	Utah −5.5Over 48.5
12:00 PMESPN2	Clemson Syracuse 12:00 PM ESPN2	Clemson −2.9	Clemson −2.5	47.0	49.5	Clemson −2.5Under 49.5
12:00 PMACC Network	Florida State Boston College 12:00 PM ACC Network	Boston College −0.2	Florida State −6.5	56.0	50.5	Boston College +6.5Over 50.5
12:00 PMFS1	Iowa State Baylor 12:00 PM FS1	Baylor −13.9	Baylor −10.0	49.5	50.5	Baylor −10.0Under 50.5
12:00 PMCBSSN	North Carolina UConn 12:00 PM CBSSN	North Carolina −5.5	North Carolina −6.5	54.6	54.5	UConn +6.5Over 54.5
12:00 PMESPN	Texas Missouri 12:00 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	Texas −5.4	Texas −2.5	47.4	42.5	Texas −2.5Over 42.5
12:00 PMESPNU	Tulsa Tulane 12:00 PM ESPNU	Tulsa −2.8	Tulsa −1.5	48.5	49.5	Tulsa −1.5Under 49.5
12:00 PMFox	UCLA Minnesota 12:00 PM Fox	UCLA −16.2	UCLA −5.5	44.2	39.5	UCLA −5.5Over 39.5
12:30 PMCW	Duke NC State 12:30 PM CW	Duke −2.1	Duke −4.5	55.0	51.5	NC State +4.5Over 51.5
12:30 PMBTN	Maryland Purdue 12:30 PM BTN	Purdue −11.7	Purdue −6.0	62.1	57.5	Purdue −6.0Over 57.5
12:45 PMSEC Network	Arkansas Auburn 12:45 PM SEC Network	Auburn −12.0	Auburn −10.5	51.7	52.5	Auburn −10.5Under 52.5
1:00 PMTNT	Oklahoma State Kansas State 1:00 PM TNT	Oklahoma State −5.3	Oklahoma State −5.5	58.0	62.0	Kansas State +5.5Under 62.0
1:00 PMESPN+	Old Dominion Coastal Carolina 1:00 PM ESPN+	Coastal Carolina −11.4	Coastal Carolina −7.5	45.9	43.5	Coastal Carolina −7.5Over 43.5
2:30 PMESPN+	Georgia State App State 2:30 PM ESPN+	App State −1.6	App State −5.5	55.5	55.5	Georgia State +5.5Over 55.5
3:00 PMESPN+	Delaware Kennesaw State 3:00 PM ESPN+	Kennesaw State −4.9	Delaware −2.5	57.3	56.5	Kennesaw State +2.5Over 56.5
3:00 PMESPN2	Texas A&M South Carolina 3:00 PM ESPN2	South Carolina −4.9	South Carolina −7.0	51.3	51.5	Texas A&M +7.0Under 51.5
3:00 PMESPN+	UL Monroe Arkansas State 3:00 PM ESPN+	Arkansas State −26.1	Arkansas State −14.5	53.7	53.5	Arkansas State −14.5Over 53.5
3:30 PMABC	Alabama LSU 3:30 PM ABCRead the breakdown	LSU −1.6	LSU −5.5	49.4	52.5	Alabama +5.5Under 52.5
3:30 PMESPN+	Charlotte UAB 3:30 PM ESPN+	UAB −10.3	UAB −8.5	49.1	47.5	UAB −8.5Over 47.5
3:30 PMFox	Cincinnati Houston 3:30 PM Fox	Houston −9.9	Houston −10.5	58.5	62.5	Cincinnati +10.5Under 62.5
3:30 PMESPN+	Marshall Georgia Southern 3:30 PM ESPN+	Georgia Southern −19.9	Georgia Southern −10.5	59.3	54.5	Georgia Southern −10.5Over 54.5
3:30 PMCBS	Oregon Ohio State 3:30 PM CBSRead the breakdown	Ohio State −9.3	Ohio State −7.5	46.4	46.5	Ohio State −7.5Under 46.5
3:30 PMFS1	Penn State Washington 3:30 PM FS1Read the breakdown	Penn State −2.1	Washington −1.5	50.3	44.5	Penn State +1.5Over 44.5
3:30 PMCBSSN	Temple Navy 3:30 PM CBSSN	Navy −6.0	Navy −7.5	56.4	54.5	Temple +7.5Over 54.5
3:30 PMESPN+	Western Kentucky Middle Tennessee 3:30 PM ESPN+	Western Kentucky −1.1	Western Kentucky −1.0	55.9	53.0	Western Kentucky −1.0Over 53.0
3:45 PMESPN2	UCF Kansas 3:45 PM ESPN2	Kansas −1.1	Kansas −2.5	51.4	48.5	UCF +2.5Over 48.5
4:00 PMESPN+	Louisiana Tech Troy 4:00 PM ESPN+	Louisiana Tech −4.1	Louisiana Tech −4.5	54.3	47.5	Troy +4.5Over 47.5
4:00 PMESPN+	Missouri State Florida International 4:00 PM ESPN+	Florida International −7.7	Florida International −4.5	51.0	49.5	Florida International −4.5Over 49.5
4:00 PMMW+	Northern Illinois San José State 4:00 PM MW+	San José State −11.4	San José State −10.0	53.6	51.5	San José State −10.0Over 51.5
4:00 PMESPNU	Rice North Texas 4:00 PM ESPNU	North Texas −20.4	North Texas −17.5	62.0	64.5	North Texas −17.5Under 64.5
4:15 PMBTN	Rutgers Wisconsin 4:15 PM BTN	Wisconsin −13.2	Wisconsin −16.5	54.0	45.5	Rutgers +16.5Over 45.5
4:15 PMSEC Network	Vanderbilt Mississippi State 4:15 PM SEC Network	Mississippi State −9.6	Mississippi State −3.0	59.7	48.5	Mississippi State −3.0Over 48.5
5:00 PMESPN+	South Alabama Louisiana 5:00 PM ESPN+	Louisiana −12.2	Louisiana −8.5	58.2	57.5	Louisiana −8.5Over 57.5
6:00 PMUSA Net	Boise State Colorado State 6:00 PM USA Net	Boise State −24.8	Boise State −17.5	69.9	68.5	Boise State −17.5Over 68.5
6:15 PMESPN	Kentucky Tennessee 6:15 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	PK	Tennessee −6.5	48.2	50.5	Kentucky +6.5Under 50.5
7:00 PMCBSSN	Sam Houston Jacksonville State 7:00 PM CBSSN	Jacksonville State −21.0	Jacksonville State −17.5	56.1	48.5	Jacksonville State −17.5Over 48.5
7:30 PMCBS	Air Force Army 7:30 PM CBS	Army −5.6	Army −3.5	53.5	45.0	Army −3.5Over 45.0
7:30 PMESPN2	Colorado Arizona State 7:30 PM ESPN2	Arizona State −4.8	Arizona State −3.5	49.0	48.5	Arizona State −3.5Over 48.5
7:30 PMABC	Georgia Ole Miss 7:30 PM ABCRead the breakdown	Georgia −3.0	Georgia −3.5	57.7	56.5	Ole Miss +3.5Over 56.5
7:30 PMFox	Iowa Northwestern 7:30 PM Fox	Northwestern −0.5	Northwestern −2.5	51.8	45.5	Iowa +2.5Over 45.5
7:30 PMACC Network	Louisville Georgia Tech 7:30 PM ACC Network	Louisville −15.3	Louisville −14.5	59.2	61.5	Louisville −14.5Under 61.5
7:30 PMNBC	Miami Notre Dame 7:30 PM NBCRead the breakdown	Notre Dame −5.4	Notre Dame −6.0	54.2	57.5	Miami +6.0Under 57.5
7:30 PMPeacock	Michigan State Michigan 7:30 PM PeacockRead the breakdown	Michigan −14.2	Michigan −13.5	41.4	39.5	Michigan −13.5Over 39.5
7:45 PMSEC Network	Oklahoma Florida 7:45 PM SEC NetworkRead the breakdown	Florida −7.3	Florida −6.5	47.7	44.5	Florida −6.5Over 44.5
8:00 PMESPNU	Liberty New Mexico State 8:00 PM ESPNU	Liberty −13.0	Liberty −16.5	51.7	46.5	New Mexico State +16.5Over 46.5
9:30 PMUSA Net	Fresno State Utah State 9:30 PM USA Net	Fresno State −2.0	Fresno State −2.5	45.8	42.5	Utah State +2.5Over 42.5
9:30 PMFS1	Hawai'i UTEP 9:30 PM FS1	Hawai'i −5.8	Hawai'i −9.5	51.8	49.5	UTEP +9.5Over 49.5
9:30 PMESPN	West Virginia Texas Tech 9:30 PM ESPNRead the breakdown	Texas Tech −13.7	Texas Tech −17.0	56.7	65.0	West Virginia +17.0Under 65.0
10:30 PMCW	Texas State Oregon State 10:30 PM CW	Oregon State −2.7	Oregon State −6.5	64.4	72.5	Texas State +6.5Under 72.5
10:30 PMCBSSN	Wyoming UNLV 10:30 PM CBSSN	UNLV −3.0	UNLV −6.5	48.4	48.5	Wyoming +6.5Under 48.5

Game	Proj spread	Proj total	Model picksat current line
Tuesday, Nov 3
OHIOAKR Final 28–20	OHIO −17.9	56.6	OHIO −12.5O 52.5
BUFM-OH Final 34–31	M-OH −13.6	53.3	M-OH −6.5O 45.5
Wednesday, Nov 4
BALLMASS 7:00 PM ESPNU	MASS −3.3	50.0	MASS −3.0Over 49.0
TOLSAC 7:00 PM CBSSN	TOL −16.5	55.1	SAC +25.5Over 52.5
CMUEMU 7:30 PM ESPN2	EMU −2.1	48.9	EMU −1.5Over 44.5
Thursday, Nov 5
UTSAFAU 7:30 PM ESPN	UTSA −3.4	63.3	FAU +6.5Under 73.5
JMUUSM 8:00 PM ESPN2	JMU −12.7	57.8	USM +14.5Over 57.5
Friday, Nov 6
VTSMU 7:00 PM ESPN Breakdown	SMU −9.6	56.2	SMU −5.5Under 56.5
USFECU 7:30 PM ESPN2	USF −2.1	49.7	USF +2.5Over 39.5
NEBILL 8:00 PM FOX Breakdown	NEB −8.7	59.6	NEB −4.5Over 50.5
UNMNEV 9:00 PM CBSSN	UNM −11.1	45.1	UNM −9.5Over 37.0
TCUARIZ 10:15 PM ESPN	ARIZ −5.6	50.4	TCU +9.5Over 43.5
Saturday, Nov 7
BYUUTAH 12:00 PM ABC Breakdown	UTAH −9.0	54.3	UTAH −5.5Over 48.5
CLEMSYR 12:00 PM ESPN2	CLEM −2.9	47.0	CLEM −2.5Under 49.5
FSUBC 12:00 PM ACC Network	BC −0.2	56.0	BC +6.5Over 50.5
ISUBAY 12:00 PM FS1	BAY −13.9	49.5	BAY −10.0Under 50.5
UNCCONN 12:00 PM CBSSN	UNC −5.5	54.6	CONN +6.5Over 54.5
TEXMIZ 12:00 PM ESPN Breakdown	TEX −5.4	47.4	TEX −2.5Over 42.5
TLSATULN 12:00 PM ESPNU	TLSA −2.8	48.5	TLSA −1.5Under 49.5
UCLAMINN 12:00 PM Fox	UCLA −16.2	44.2	UCLA −5.5Over 39.5
DUKENCSU 12:30 PM CW	DUKE −2.1	55.0	NCSU +4.5Over 51.5
MDPUR 12:30 PM BTN	PUR −11.7	62.1	PUR −6.0Over 57.5
ARKAUB 12:45 PM SEC Network	AUB −12.0	51.7	AUB −10.5Under 52.5
OKSTKSU 1:00 PM TNT	OKST −5.3	58.0	KSU +5.5Under 62.0
ODUCCU 1:00 PM ESPN+	CCU −11.4	45.9	CCU −7.5Over 43.5
GASTAPP 2:30 PM ESPN+	APP −1.6	55.5	GAST +5.5Over 55.5
DELKENN 3:00 PM ESPN+	KENN −4.9	57.3	KENN +2.5Over 56.5
TA&MSC 3:00 PM ESPN2	SC −4.9	51.3	TA&M +7.0Under 51.5
ULMARST 3:00 PM ESPN+	ARST −26.1	53.7	ARST −14.5Over 53.5
ALALSU 3:30 PM ABC Breakdown	LSU −1.6	49.4	ALA +5.5Under 52.5
CLTUAB 3:30 PM ESPN+	UAB −10.3	49.1	UAB −8.5Over 47.5
CINHOU 3:30 PM Fox	HOU −9.9	58.5	CIN +10.5Under 62.5
MRSHGASO 3:30 PM ESPN+	GASO −19.9	59.3	GASO −10.5Over 54.5
OREOSU 3:30 PM CBS Breakdown	OSU −9.3	46.4	OSU −7.5Under 46.5
PSUWASH 3:30 PM FS1 Breakdown	PSU −2.1	50.3	PSU +1.5Over 44.5
TEMNAVY 3:30 PM CBSSN	NAVY −6.0	56.4	TEM +7.5Over 54.5
WKUMTSU 3:30 PM ESPN+	WKU −1.1	55.9	WKU −1.0Over 53.0
UCFKU 3:45 PM ESPN2	KU −1.1	51.4	UCF +2.5Over 48.5
LTTROY 4:00 PM ESPN+	LT −4.1	54.3	TROY +4.5Over 47.5
MOSTFIU 4:00 PM ESPN+	FIU −7.7	51.0	FIU −4.5Over 49.5
NIUSJSU 4:00 PM MW+	SJSU −11.4	53.6	SJSU −10.0Over 51.5
RICEUNT 4:00 PM ESPNU	UNT −20.4	62.0	UNT −17.5Under 64.5
RUTGWIS 4:15 PM BTN	WIS −13.2	54.0	RUTG +16.5Over 45.5
VANMSST 4:15 PM SEC Network	MSST −9.6	59.7	MSST −3.0Over 48.5
USAUL 5:00 PM ESPN+	UL −12.2	58.2	UL −8.5Over 57.5
BOISCSU 6:00 PM USA Net	BOIS −24.8	69.9	BOIS −17.5Over 68.5
UKTENN 6:15 PM ESPN Breakdown	PK	48.2	UK +6.5Under 50.5
SHSUJXST 7:00 PM CBSSN	JXST −21.0	56.1	JXST −17.5Over 48.5
AFARMY 7:30 PM CBS	ARMY −5.6	53.5	ARMY −3.5Over 45.0
COLOASU 7:30 PM ESPN2	ASU −4.8	49.0	ASU −3.5Over 48.5
UGAMISS 7:30 PM ABC Breakdown	UGA −3.0	57.7	MISS +3.5Over 56.5
IOWANU 7:30 PM Fox	NU −0.5	51.8	IOWA +2.5Over 45.5
LOUGT 7:30 PM ACC Network	LOU −15.3	59.2	LOU −14.5Under 61.5
MIAND 7:30 PM NBC Breakdown	ND −5.4	54.2	MIA +6.0Under 57.5
MSUMICH 7:30 PM Peacock Breakdown	MICH −14.2	41.4	MICH −13.5Over 39.5
OUFLA 7:45 PM SEC Network Breakdown	FLA −7.3	47.7	FLA −6.5Over 44.5
LIBNMSU 8:00 PM ESPNU	LIB −13.0	51.7	NMSU +16.5Over 46.5
FRESUSU 9:30 PM USA Net	FRES −2.0	45.8	USU +2.5Over 42.5
HAWUTEP 9:30 PM FS1	HAW −5.8	51.8	UTEP +9.5Over 49.5
WVUTTU 9:30 PM ESPN Breakdown	TTU −13.7	56.7	WVU +17.0Under 65.0
TXSTORST 10:30 PM CW	ORST −2.7	64.4	TXST +6.5Under 72.5
WYOUNLV 10:30 PM CBSSN	UNLV −3.0	48.4	WYO +6.5Under 48.5

Basketball has games every day. See today’s college basketball predictions.

How the model is doing. 260–233–9 against the spread (52.7%), 179–166 on totals (51.9%) and 361–141 straight up (71.9%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.